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Month: February 2021

Lessons for gaming and tech companies from the Peter Drucker Forum

Lessons for gaming and tech companies from the Peter Drucker Forum

Last year, I had the opportunity to attend (virtually) the The Peter Drucker Institute’s Forum on Leadership. What I found particularly compelling (and why I attended) was that the majority of the speakers were successful business leaders, rather than people whose primary calling was providing advice. I always prefer proven actions to theories.

Below, I am highlighting some of the key highlights and takeaways for companies in the gaming space, particularly tied to innovation, leadership, remote work and leading during a crisis.

The kryptonite of innovation: Excel

One of the most interesting lessons from the seminar was a story from Scott Cook, founder and CEO of Intuit, recalling one of Clayton Christensen’s (the guru of innovation) experience with innovation at Intel. According to Cook, Christensen identified spreadsheets as the root cause of Intel’s inability to innovate. He had been brought in by Andy Grove to help Intel and was given access to all new businesses that Intel had created. At the time, Intel had launched 60 new business initiatives, and every single one failed.

No innovation

As Intel was a huge company, there was robust documentation for all the initiatives. Christensen reviewed the documents and found that the common flaw was the spreadsheet. Whatever the company’s required IRR (internal rate of return) in the proposal, the P&L always showed you would get that IRR. Yet, in the end, all 60 had failed. The spreadsheets actually focused the teams on manipulating the numbers rather than finding product/market fit. This lesson resonated strongly with me, as I have seen many companies in the gaming space try to use robust analysis to greenlight new game projects and the reality never came close to the spreadsheet (in fact, the performance of the projects seemed uncorrelated to the projections).

Key takeaway: Using spreadsheets to analyze a new business venture is worthless or even creates negative value. It is impossible to predict accurately the new ventures performance and takes away from testing businesses in the wild.

The opposite of spreadsheets, tools to generate innovation

While spreadsheets are not the solution to innovating, several speakers provided excellent guidance. One speaker provided a clear alternative to Intel’s failed strategy of innovating by financial analysis. Rather than try to pick winners, admit you do not know what projects will succeed. In stark contrast to Intel, Bosch invested in 200 projects in two years. It gave each a small amount of seed investment. After three months, the teams had to prove the project had traction, using predetermined KPIs. After three more months, the team again had to prove it had promise; at this stage Bosch kills 70 percent of projects, with the others receiving additional investment. After another three months, it kills another seventy percent of projects, adding to the investment in the survivors.

Keys to a successful innovation process

Howard Yu, the LEGO professor of Innovation at IMD Business School explained that companies have no trouble trying disruptive innovation but scaling it. This problem is one I experienced in multiple large companies that were trying to expand into new areas.

These projects turn into side hobbies and never impact the core business, moreover, they leave the company vulnerable to disruption. I once joked that an effort I led at a big company had the promise of being a footnote on its financial statements after five years if we continuously outperformed our plan.

Even when buying companies for innovation, companies often fail to scale this disruption. To overcome this situation, the leadership team must have a shared vision of the future. They and their Board needs to have difficult conversations, including firing and hiring. Most importantly, the CEO has to have a curious mind and recognize what kind of world we live in to capitalize on opportunities and mitigate the biggest risks. A great example of a “curious” executive is Bill Gates, who reads over 50 books a year.

Key takeaways: The best way to grow innovation is testing multiple initiatives, evaluating them critically, stopping the majority of projects and then increasing investment in those showing traction. For a company to innovate and not simply play at innovation, it also needs a curious leader who builds a shared vision of the future.

The value of micro-businesses

Another great insight came from Kevin Nolan, the CEO of GE Appliances. GE Appliances is the fastest growing appliance business in North America and owned by Haier, the Chinese conglomerate known for innovation. Nolan discussed his experience at GE Appliances, where the company was originally built on efficiency and productivity but had been dying slowly due to slow moving ideas and bureaucracy. In the fast evolving consumer appliance environment, GE needed to be creative and nimble but instead had become bureaucratic. Ideas were based on the weight of PowerPoint presentations rather than product/market fit. Success was measured on getting into next year’s budget. GE was slow moving and not responsive to the market, unable to compete in a fast paced, short cycle business. Thus, GE sold the unit to Haier, though Nolan expected more of the same from the new Chinese owners.

Instead, Haier realized that employees want to be entrepreneurs. It broke the business into small pieces so it could focus on agility and competition. Haier preached that the only person employees should listen to is the users, they pay the salary, not the company. The philosophy being that your boss is not inside your company but outside, your consumer. Nolan said, “burn your org charts, they represent hierarchy, bureaucracy.”

It broke company down from 4 to 14 product lines and shifted to micro-enterprises. By micro-enterprises, business lines or products that had full P&L responsibility and autonomy. Effectively, GE created a collection of CEOs. The idea behind the micro-businesses is that the team needs to live in a zero distance world from its customer. Every micro-enterprise looks at their individual customers, not the aggregate customers of the company.

The goal for Nolan and Haier was to get zero distance between the customer and employees, perpetually getting the gap smaller and smaller. It was also critical for every micro-business to get tight with its commercial team. That is where got actionable feedback, not one of the staff functions. As Nolan said, “finance can’t tell you what you need to do in the future.”

With this strategy of micro-businesses, GE Appliances is now the fastest growing company in the very competitive North American market and the number one smart home company. It also has the highest employee satisfaction rating in the industry.

Key takeaways: In the gaming space, you can set up every product as a micro-business, with P&L responsibility. Give the team autonomy and allow them to focus on the specific customers of their game, rather than the entire company.

Inverted pyramid of leadership

Any strong management conference will include interesting ideas about leadership, and this one did not fail to deliver in that area. One of the speakers, John Ferriola, the former CEO of Nucor (a company with over 26,000 employees), explained the concept of the inverted pyramid. According to Ferriola, command and control only works where safety and compliance are critical. Otherwise, a business in the 21st century need to invert the pyramid, based on meritocracy and freedom for the employees.

Inverted pyramid

At Nucor, the CEO (at the time, Ferriola) works for the employees, not the other way around. Nucor believes every leader at every level must lead with a servant’s heart; their job is to take care of their team. The leader’s job is to create an environment where others can succeed and then trust that once they create that environment, the team will do the best thing. No leader can have all the knowledge to make always the right decision, instead leverage the cumulative resources of your team to take the best path of action.

As part of the inverted pyramid, every employee can bring ideas or complaints to the CEO, with the caveat that they need to discuss the idea first with their immediate supervision. Then employee can speak directly to the CEO without any fear of reprisal. All employees had the CEO’s office number, home number and cell phone.

Key takeaways: Rather than building a strict hierarchy, structure your company so the leaders can serve their teams and create an environment where employees are empowered to take the best action.

Empowering the top of your pyramid

Once you accept the concept of the inverted pyramid, there are many techniques to empower your employees, who are now at the top of the pyramid. Tracey Davidson, the Deputy CEO of Handelsbanken explains it comes down to fundamentally trusting your colleagues. To achieve this trust, you need to align around a common set of core values; at Handelsbanken they have had the same goal and core values for 50 years. For these goals to be successful, they must be:

  • Simple
  • Easy to remember
  • Shared focus
  • Focused on satisfying customers, not costs or profit

Ms. Davidson explained that when people have a clear mandate, they do their best work. At a structural level, trusting employees allowed them to decentralize their organization and treat each branch treated as a mini-business supported by the central business (consistent to the conversation about micro-businesses above).

It was interesting how empowering employees converged with creating micro-businesses. In Handelsbanken’s case, by turning each branch into a micro-business, they did not have to change policies or decisions for people to make decisions in new parts of the bank. Each branch controls its own P&L. The branch decides where it is going to spend, where expenditures are pitched on a peer basis. Branches see that if they control costs well, then every new customer has a bigger impact.

Handelsbanken also gives each branch details on costs so they can set their own pricing. The central branch provides all the costs of capital as well as other costs and the local branch then decides pricing and whether or not to loan to a local customer.

As part of empowering the branches, they have to live with consequences of their decisions. If capital exposure cost goes up with a bad customer, it impacts the branch. Branch performance reflects customer performance, not kicked into a group KPI. This philosophy has helped Handelsbanken consistently outperform its peers.

Another example of empowering your team is from the CEO of Michelin, Florentino Menegaux. Menegaux points out that as the leader you need to suck the stress from the organization and your team and return the energy. Michelin started as a command and control culture but he realized it was contradictory to trying to focus on customers. He needed to realign processes to tap into the collective intelligence and understanding of customer, rather than relying on processes. To make this change, and put employees at the top of the pyramid, he identified three keys:

  1. Trust. Empowerment and performance begins with trust. Never underestimate the casual genius of every human being.
  2. Freedom. If you want people to think outside of the box, you need to give employees ability to do so.
  3. Culture. If you want to transform people on the front lines to be empowered, you have to transform the culture and work with everyone to address challenging behaviors.

Menegaux concluded by pointing out that humans collectively are more powerful than a computer but computers allow people to be more human. He suggested we use technology to unleash human potential, rather than measuring 1,000 KPIs.

Key takeaways: To empower your team and move to an inverted pyramid, you need to provide clear and simple goals and allow your employees to figure out the best way to achieve them.

How to lead in a remote environment

The conference explored another element of leadership, particularly important now, leading in a remote or work from home environment. What made someone a great leader even two years ago may not work now, where you can no longer meet informally with your team or easily observe their day-to-day activities.

Donna Flynn, the VP of Global Talent at Steelcase focused on the emphatic traits leaders now need to develop. She identified three keys to leading successfully in a remote environment:

  1. Be intentional and clear with your team.
  2. Develop a “third eye” for emotional intelligence, as you need to view your team through an emotional lens.
  3. Help your team manage both their energy collectively and individually. Well-being is a top line issue for leaders to always consider.

Flynn also provided some useful, more tactical advice:

  • Large group discussions are not as interactive, so it is good to follow them up or even precede them with small group discussions.
  • You need to connect with your team, not only your direct reports, one-to-one. Focus on frequent touch points across your team and show vulnerability so they open up to you.
  • Work from home will be a node in the ecosystem and the office another node. Some will chose to go to the office daily. Others will chose to go for specific activities. Design your processes and team for this cadence of interactions and build the conditions to achieve desired outcomes.

Guy Ben-Ishai of Google added additional insights into effectively leading in a work-from-home or remote environment. According to Ben-Ishai, successful remote leadership comes down to maintaining your presence. If you are not present, you cannot really lead. You can achieve this presence with frequent interactions with a broad number of people, even when working remotely. You should insist on taking the time and having periodic check-ins with employees, colleagues and other leaders.

Key takeaways: In a work-from-home or remote work environment, great leaders need to maintain their presence. You can do this with frequent, personal interactions with teammates, employees and other colleagues.

Using a crisis to improve

Covid has not only provided a challenge in leading remote workers but it also has presented opportunities for many companies. Great leaders can turn a crisis into an opportunity. To lead effectively through a crisis, you need to think outside the box and focus on your customers.

Sara Mathew the Chair of the Board at Freddie Mac recounted the story of one of her greatest professional successes. She joined Dun & Bradstreet as CFO a week before 9/11, which almost put the company out of business. To deal with the crisis, Ms. Mathew brought in the consulting group McKinsey, who proposed a very draconian process to survive. She was tasked with changing Europe to break even. Customers had lost trust in the brand because of data quality. The team was worn out with the issue, it was all they heard day in and day out. Yet there was still a sense of optimism as employees maintained pride in D&B.

Ms. Mathews tried something revolutionary, collaborating with their top competitor. Her goal was to give access to their technology platform and data and convert it into franchise model. In 18 months, she created franchises around the world for every market except three where they were already number one. Europe moved from a loss to a $100 million profit. Customer satisfaction improved 30 points. D&B’s stock price went from $20 to $80 and Ms. Mathews became CEO.

Ms. Mathews explained that this success, driven by a crisis, was not genius but the result of trying a radical idea. She also highlighted that the idea did not come from the top, it came from a customer.

In addition to the example of Ms. Mathew, Jorgen Vig Knudstorp, LEGO’s Executive Chairman explained how LEGO used the crisis as an opportunity to reinforce its mission. LEGO annually spends about $300 million to promote children with challenges to learn through play. LEGO increased its investment another $100 million during the pandemic for similar initiatives, as the non-profits they work with were facing extraordinary challenges to continue their work. Knudstorp explains that when you are under pressure, it is a good opportunity to put your money where you mouth is.

Key takeaways: To navigate your way out of a crisis, listen to your customers to come up with novel solutions.

Key takeaways:

  • The best way to grow innovation is testing multiple initiatives, evaluating them critically, killing the majority and then increasing investment in those showing traction in a regular cycle. For a company to innovate and not simply play at innovation, it also needs a curious leader who builds a shared vision of the future.
  • Rather than building a strict hierarchy, structure your company so the leaders can serve their teams and create an environment where employees are empowered to take the best action.
  • To navigate your way out of a crisis, listen to your customers to come up with novel solutions.

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Unknown's avatarAuthor Lloyd MelnickPosted on February 17, 2021February 28, 2021Categories General Social Games Business, General Tech BusinessTags Clayton Christensen, Covid19, hierarchy, innovation, leadership, Micro-business, Work from homeLeave a comment on Lessons for gaming and tech companies from the Peter Drucker Forum

Chaos Theory, the Butterfly Effect, and Gaming

Chaos Theory, the Butterfly Effect, and Gaming

I have written several times recently about the need for resiliency and managing in a complex environment, given how unpredictable the world is and referencing Chaos Theory. Given the importance of the Butterfly Effect, the impact of Chaos Theory, it is worth expounding on the theory and consequences. An article in the MIT Technology Review, When the Butterfly Effect Took Flight by Peter Dizikes, does a great job of explaining the theory and impact.

What is the Butterfly Effect?

In the 1960s, Edward Lorenz, a meteorology professor at MIT, entered data into a computer program simulating weather patterns and then took a break while the computer processed the information. Upon reviewing the results, he noticed an outcome that led to what is now known as the Butterfly Effect.

Lorenz’s computer model inputted twelve KPIs, such as temperature and wind speed. During this particular simulation (one that he had run previously), he rounded off one variable from .506127 to .506. Dizikies writes, “to his surprise, that tiny alteration drastically transformed the whole pattern his program produced, over two months of simulated weather. The unexpected result led Lorenz to a powerful insight about the way nature works: small changes can have large consequences. The idea came to be known as the ‘butterfly effect’ after Lorenz suggested that the flap of a butterfly’s wings might ultimately cause a tornado. And the butterfly effect, also known as ‘sensitive dependence on initial conditions,’ has a profound corollary: forecasting the future can be nearly impossible.”

This seemingly innocuous finding challenged some core scientific principles. Isaac Newton published “laws” in 1687 that suggested a tidily predictable mechanical system, known as the “ clockwork universe.” Mathematician Pierre-Simon Laplace whose work was important to the development of engineering, mathematics, statistics, physics, astronomy, and philosophy, wrote that if we knew everything about the universe currently, then “nothing would be uncertain and the future, as the past, would be present to [our] eyes.”

Lorenz’s findings challenged both Newton and Laplace, as unpredictability does not impact how they explain the world. Dizikies explains, “the tiny change in [Lorenz’s] simulation mattered so much showed, by extension, that the imprecision inherent in any human measurement could become magnified into wildly incorrect forecasts…. After Lorenz, we came to see that determinism might give you short-term predictability, but in the long run, things could be unpredictable. That’s what we associate with the word ‘chaos’.”

This concept of chaos amplifies how the world is nonlinear. “The principle of chaos drove home the importance of non¬linearity, a characteristic of many natural systems. If a group of 100 lions has a net gain of 10 members a year, that increase in population size can be plotted on a graph as a straight line. A group of mice that doubles annually, on the other hand, has a nonlinear growth pattern; on a graph, the population size will curve upward. After a decade, the difference between a group that started with 22 mice and one that started with 20 mice will have ballooned to more than 2,000. Given that type of growth pattern, the real-life pressures on species — normal death rates, epidemics, limited resources — will often cause their population sizes to rise and fall chaotically. While not all nonlinear systems are chaotic, all chaotic systems are nonlinear,” explains Dizikies.

Butterflies are not random

A critical element of Chaos Theory is that it does not imply randomness. Dizikies writes, “One way that he demonstrated this was through the equations representing the motion of a gas. When he plotted their solutions on a graph, the result — a pair of linked oval-like figures — vaguely resembled a butterfly. Known as a “Lorenz attractor,” the shape illustrated the point that almost all chaotic phenomena can vary only within limits.” The key here is that the butterfly is a range of possible results, but there are boundaries.

Butterfly

While the effect is not random, it is also not predictable. Nature’s interdependent chains of cause and effect are too complex to disentangle. Thus, you do not which butterfly, or gnat, may have created a given storm.

The Butterfly Effect and gaming companies

The value of understanding the Butterfly Effect for gaming companies goes beyond knowing if you need to bring an umbrella to the office. Just as weather patterns are unpredictable due to the myriad of factors that can cause a storm, the business environment is equally unpredictable. A new law in a market you are not engaged or a product launch in a different industry can end up changing the dynamics of your business. The most obvious recent example is how bats in Wuhan, China ended up driving catastrophic effects on the travel (and many other) businesses, while driving online gaming revenue to unprecedented levels.

The Butterfly Effect is why you need a resilient business

As the future is not predictable, it is critical that you build a resilient business that can quickly adjust to major changes in your ecosystem. To be resilient and deal with change, you need to move from a hierarchical, command and control structure, to one that empowers your company to react quickly to butterflies half a world away.

Key takeaways

  1. In the 1960s, Edward Lorenz identified the Butterfly Effect when inputting multiple KPIs into a weather program, rounding one number, and seeing that the seemingly insignificant rounding change led to a momentously different outcome.
  2. The importance of small changes on outcomes shows that activity is not predictable, and this challenge extends to the business environment.
  3. To manage effectively and overcome the unpredictability of the world, you need to build a resilient business and move away from a hierarchical, command and control structure.

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Unknown's avatarAuthor Lloyd MelnickPosted on February 10, 2021February 8, 2021Categories Analytics, General Social Games Business, General Tech BusinessTags Butterfly Effect, Chaos Theory, Resiliency3 Comments on Chaos Theory, the Butterfly Effect, and Gaming

How to give help without micromanaging

How to give help without micromanaging

A perpetual challenge leaders face is helping their employees without crossing over into micromanaging them. There are many areas that a leader can help his or her team members; they have become a leader because of experience and expertise. This assistance, however, can be counter-productive when it becomes micromanagement and inhibits the employee’s efforts. People have strong negative emotional and physiological reactions to unnecessary or unwanted help and it also can erode working relationships. More importantly, it prevents your team members from displaying their ingenuity.

A recent article in the Harvard Business Review, How to Help (Without Micromanaging) by Colin Fisher, Teresa Amabile and Julianna Pillemer, provides useful advice and techniques to assist in helping your team members while minimizing the negative consequences. The authors point out that this assistance is more important in our Covid-19 environment, especially with complex work that often needs more than just superficial advice or encouragement.

Slide1

Timing

Just as a great athlete waits for the play to develop rather than forcing the action, a great leader watches and listens for when their subordinates see the need for help and are prepared to heed the assistance. This approach is different than the traditional model of trying to anticipate and prevent problems before they develop. As they say in the article, “[Strong leaders] understand that people are more willing to welcome assistance when they’re already engaged in a task or a project and have experienced its challenges firsthand.”

A good approach is to start by listening. Talk to your team about the situation. Ask what is happening and get to the root of the problem. There are multiple benefits to this approach:

  • You will understand the problem. Rather than rushing in and fixing the wrong thing, you will know what needs to be addressed.
  • They will have a chance to explore the situation and potentially come up with a better solution.
  • If there is no identifiable solution, the team is more likely to be open to or even ask for assistance.

Fischer, Amabile and Pillemer worked on this approach with multiple organizations and found substantial benefits. According to them, “we found that when advice was given in the course of teams’ work, after problems had emerged rather than beforehand, members understood and valued it more. This led them to actually use the help, improve their processes, share more information, and make objectively better decisions than did groups that received more instruction at the start of their discussions….[W]e’d counsel managers not to provide input without first allowing those they supervise to gain knowledge of the task and express their views on it. In many cases, a well-timed cure may be better than that ounce of prevention.”

Stress you are there to help

The second key to helping is to clarify your role is to help, not to judge. Many employees will believe that asking for (and getting) advice and help makes them appear vulnerable and weak, potentially putting them in a bad position. They also might believe that having their boss help will lead to them being judged, potentially negatively.

Good leaders will create an environment of psychological safety that encourages interpersonal risks. You should explain that your role is to help, not to judge or take over the work. You need to emphasize continually that the employee is still in charge of the project and that your role is to help make them more effective.

You also need to state clearly that you are not intervening to assess the employee. Fischer, Amabile and Pillemer write, “when managers clarified their intentions … employees were more candid about the problems they faced and more willing to accept help and work collaboratively to solve them. Don’t assume that employees concerned about performance reviews and pay can accurately discern your intentions. No matter how supportive you are as a boss, they won’t forget that part of your job is to monitor and assess them. So when you start taking a stronger hand in their work, assure them that you’re there as an adviser, not an evaluator. Be explicit about what you are trying to accomplish with your intervention.”

Match the cadence of help to the type of need

Just as you do not want to rush into giving assistance, you also want the situation to drive the cadence and structure of the help you provide. If you jump in and provide help without fully assessing the situation, you are likely to provide sub-optimal guidance. You need to devote sufficient time to understand your employees’ problems. If the issue is complex or creative, you will need to engage deeply. Fischer, et.al. explain, “it … means allocating time and attention in a pattern that works for receivers. We call this the rhythm of involvement, and it will vary depending on whether employees need intensive guidance in the short term or intermittent path clearing over a prolonged period.”

In complex situations, you need to provide concentrated guidance. This help entails working closely with your employees in long sessions tightly clustered over a few days. Given the depth of involvement, you can easily drift into micromanagement. To avoid micromanaging, you need to clarify your role as a helper and ensure your team is ready for the assistance. By taking these steps, your assistance should be welcomed.

If the situation does not require concentrated guidance, your role should be that of a path clearer. In this situation, you offer assistance in shorter, sporadic intervals when employees face ongoing problems. The authors write, “path clearers maintain enough general knowledge about the project to understand emerging needs but seldom dig into the core work. Rather, they look for smaller ways to give relief to their subordinates…. Leaders trying this approach shouldn’t underestimate the importance of staying informed about the work. Those who fail to do so can provide only shallow criticism or vague advice when they drop in.”

Being a good helper makes everyone a winner

By following the three steps above when assisting your employees, your team resolves issues faster while still unleashing their creativity. It also helps you improve your team’s health as they see you as a leader who helps, rather than another problem they need to deal with.

Key takeaways

  1. Leaders have the experience and skills to help their employees deal with difficult problems, but they must ensure they do not end up micromanaging, thus inhibiting their employees motivation and creativity.
  2. To provide effective help, wait for your employees to realize they need assistance and take the time to understand the situation fully. When you help, use this knowledge to match your assistance to their needs.
  3. Stress your role is to provide assistance and that your focus is on helping rather than judging.

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Unknown's avatarAuthor Lloyd MelnickPosted on February 3, 2021March 6, 2021Categories General Social Games Business, General Tech BusinessTags Help, MicromanagingLeave a comment on How to give help without micromanaging

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This is Lloyd Melnick’s personal blog.  All views and opinions expressed on this website are mine alone and do not represent those of people, institutions or organizations that I may or may not be associated with in professional or personal capacity.

I am a serial builder of businesses (senior leadership on three exits worth over $700 million), successful in big (Disney, Stars Group/PokerStars, Zynga) and small companies (Merscom, Spooky Cool Labs) with over 20 years experience in the gaming and casino space.  Currently, I am the GM of VGW’s Chumba Casino and on the Board of Directors of Murka Games and Luckbox.

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  • How One Manufacturer Achieved Net Zero at Zero Cost
  • What Can U.S. Employers Do About Rising Healthcare Costs?
  • When You Have to Execute a Strategy You Disagree With
  • 4 Ways to Build Durable Relationships with Your Most Important Customers
  • What Jargon Says About Your Company Culture
  • Research: When Used Correctly, LLMs Can Unlock More Creative Ideas
  • Your New Role Requires Strategic Thinking…But You’re Stuck in the Weeds
  • For Circular Economy Innovation, Look to the Global South
  • Why Great Leaders Focus on the Details
  • Corporate Disclosure in the Age of AI

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RSS MIT Sloan Management Review Blog

  • AI Coding Tools: The Productivity Trap Most Companies Miss
  • How Procter & Gamble Uses AI to Unlock New Insights From Data
  • Rewire Organizational Knowledge With GenAI
  • Hungry for Learning: Wendy’s Will Croushorn
  • Beat Burnout: 10 Essential MIT SMR Reads
  • How Leaders Stay True to Themselves and Their Stakeholders
  • Our Guide to the Winter 2026 Issue
  • Broadening Future Perspectives at the Bank of England
  • A Faster Way to Build Future Scenarios
  • Assess What Is Certain in a Sea of Unknowns
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